MLS
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
Sunday, May 24, 00:30
Consensus
Medium · 56.1%Chicago Fire
58.8%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto FC
18.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 52.4% | 32.3% | 15.3% |
| poisson | 69.2% | 16.2% | 14.6% |
| elo | 45.3% | 26.5% | 28.2% |
- Chicago Fire wPPG 1.59 (home 1.63, W-L-W-W-W)
- Toronto FC wPPG 0.91 (away 0.89, D-D-D-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.77
- xG Chicago Fire 2.36 vs Toronto FC 0.96
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Chicago Fire 1516 vs Toronto FC 1494
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).