Saudi Pro League
Al-Najma SC vs Al-Shabab
Wednesday, May 20, 18:00
Consensus
Low · 21.9%Al-Najma SC
35.4%
Draw
27.7%
Al-Shabab
37.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 26.5% | 38.2% | 35.3% |
| poisson | 39.5% | 20.7% | 39.8% |
| elo | 37.8% | 30.1% | 32.1% |
- Al-Najma SC wPPG 0.18 (home 0.43, L-L-L-D-L)
- Al-Shabab wPPG 0.52 (away 0.88, L-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.18
- xG Al-Najma SC 1.71 vs Al-Shabab 1.71
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Al-Najma SC 1456 vs Al-Shabab 1487
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).