Saudi Pro League
Neom SC vs Al-Ettifaq
Thursday, May 21, 18:00
Consensus
Low · 36.2%Neom SC
29.5%
Draw
26.8%
Al-Ettifaq
43.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 20.8% | 35.3% | 43.9% |
| poisson | 30.7% | 19.9% | 49.4% |
| elo | 37.4% | 30.3% | 32.3% |
- Neom SC wPPG 0.69 (home 0.78, L-D-W-L-D)
- Al-Ettifaq wPPG 1.16 (away 1.86, L-D-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.47
- xG Neom SC 1.52 vs Al-Ettifaq 1.98
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Neom SC 1481 vs Al-Ettifaq 1516
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).