Saudi Pro League
Al-Nassr vs Damac FC
Thursday, May 21, 18:00
Consensus
High · 75.1%Al-Nassr
83.8%
Draw
11.9%
Damac FC
4.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 72.3% | 24.0% | 3.7% |
| poisson | 93.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| elo | 57.3% | 20.8% | 21.9% |
- Al-Nassr wPPG 1.35 (home 2.50, D-L-L-L-W)
- Damac FC wPPG 0.59 (away 0.78, L-D-D-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.87
- xG Al-Nassr 3.67 vs Damac FC 0.35
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Al-Nassr 1560 vs Damac FC 1453
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).