Saudi Pro League
Al-Ittihad vs Al-Qadsiah
Thursday, May 21, 18:00
Consensus
Low · 39.3%Al-Ittihad
45.8%
Draw
30.5%
Al-Qadsiah
23.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 34.5% | 38.5% | 27.0% |
| poisson | 58.4% | 24.7% | 17.0% |
| elo | 36.9% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
- Al-Ittihad wPPG 1.53 (home 2.57, W-W-W-W-D)
- Al-Qadsiah wPPG 1.48 (away 2.14, L-W-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.15
- xG Al-Ittihad 1.44 vs Al-Qadsiah 0.61
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Al-Ittihad 1528 vs Al-Qadsiah 1566
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).