LaLiga
Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, May 23, 19:00
Consensus
Medium · 61.0%Deportivo Alavés
65.2%
Draw
22.6%
Rayo Vallecano
12.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 60.5% | 29.0% | 10.5% |
| poisson | 76.8% | 15.8% | 7.4% |
| elo | 44.6% | 26.9% | 28.6% |
- Deportivo Alavés wPPG 1.65 (home 1.67, W-L-L-L-W)
- Rayo Vallecano wPPG 1.19 (away 0.60, D-W-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.10
- xG Deportivo Alavés 2.09 vs Rayo Vallecano 0.44
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Deportivo Alavés 1491 vs Rayo Vallecano 1474
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).