LaLiga
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
Sunday, May 17, 17:00
Consensus
Low · 41.6%Sevilla
43.8%
book 29.5%
Draw
25.2%
book 25.9%
Real Madrid
31.0%
book 44.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 24.8% | 37.4% | 37.9% |
| poisson | 80.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| elo | 35.1% | 31.4% | 33.4% |
| market | 29.5% | 25.9% | 44.6% |
- Sevilla wPPG 1.34 (home 2.00, L-W-L-W-L)
- Real Madrid wPPG 1.98 (away 1.50, W-W-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.26
- xG Sevilla 3.14 vs Real Madrid 0.96
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Sevilla 1504 vs Real Madrid 1556
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 3.10EV +35.8%Edge 14.3%Kelly 17.1%