Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
Saturday, May 16, 13:30
Consensus
Low · 37.5%SV Werder Bremen
27.8%
Draw
27.6%
Borussia Dortmund
44.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 14.1% | 31.6% | 54.3% |
| poisson | 35.8% | 21.8% | 42.4% |
| elo | 33.7% | 31.7% | 34.6% |
- SV Werder Bremen wPPG 1.22 (home 2.00, W-D-W-D-W)
- Borussia Dortmund wPPG 2.22 (away 1.67, D-W-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.84
- xG SV Werder Bremen 1.45 vs Borussia Dortmund 1.60
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo SV Werder Bremen 1483 vs Borussia Dortmund 1547
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).