Premier League
West Ham United vs Leeds United
Sunday, May 24, 15:00
Consensus
Low · 34.5%West Ham United
30.7%
book 33.3%
Draw
29.7%
book 33.3%
Leeds United
39.7%
book 33.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 17.6% | 33.6% | 48.8% |
| poisson | 33.6% | 20.4% | 46.0% |
| elo | 34.6% | 31.7% | 33.7% |
| market | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
- West Ham United wPPG 0.38 (home 0.20, D-L-D-D-L)
- Leeds United wPPG 1.01 (away 0.60, L-L-W-D-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.64
- xG West Ham United 1.57 vs Leeds United 1.87
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo West Ham United 1453 vs Leeds United 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 1.00EV +-60.3%Edge 6.3%Kelly 0.0%