Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
Sunday, May 24, 15:00
Consensus
Medium · 57.6%Nottingham Forest
62.6%
Draw
20.4%
Bournemouth
17.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 47.0% | 34.3% | 18.8% |
| poisson | 78.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| elo | 45.8% | 26.3% | 27.9% |
- Nottingham Forest wPPG 0.63 (home 1.00, L-L-L-W-L)
- Bournemouth wPPG 0.63 (away 0.40, D-W-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.57
- xG Nottingham Forest 3.55 vs Bournemouth 1.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Nottingham Forest 1500 vs Bournemouth 1474
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).