Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal
Sunday, May 24, 15:00
Consensus
Medium · 57.2%Crystal Palace
17.7%
book 33.3%
Draw
27.5%
book 33.3%
Arsenal
54.8%
book 33.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 3.4% | 24.0% | 72.6% |
| poisson | 6.0% | 15.2% | 78.8% |
| elo | 32.0% | 30.0% | 38.0% |
| market | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
- Crystal Palace wPPG 0.43 (home 0.50, L-L-D-L-D)
- Arsenal wPPG 2.35 (away 2.33, W-W-D-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.92
- xG Crystal Palace 0.36 vs Arsenal 2.08
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Crystal Palace 1470 vs Arsenal 1560
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 1.00EV +-45.2%Edge 21.5%Kelly 0.0%