Premier League
Liverpool FC vs Brentford
Sunday, May 24, 15:00
Consensus
Medium · 64.2%Liverpool FC
62.1%
book 33.3%
Draw
21.7%
book 33.3%
Brentford
16.2%
book 33.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 67.4% | 25.7% | 6.9% |
| poisson | 93.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| elo | 48.8% | 24.9% | 26.3% |
| market | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
- Liverpool FC wPPG 1.72 (home 2.20, W-W-D-D-D)
- Brentford wPPG 0.69 (away 1.00, L-W-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.43
- xG Liverpool FC 3.77 vs Brentford 0.47
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Liverpool FC 1556 vs Brentford 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.00EV +-37.9%Edge 28.7%Kelly 0.0%