Serie A
Cremonese vs Como
Sunday, May 24, 13:00
Consensus
Low · 35.7%Cremonese
29.5%
book 33.3%
Draw
30.3%
book 33.3%
Como
40.2%
book 33.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 21.4% | 35.6% | 43.0% |
| poisson | 24.7% | 21.9% | 53.4% |
| elo | 36.3% | 30.9% | 32.9% |
| market | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
- Cremonese wPPG 0.93 (home 1.00, D-D-W-L-L)
- Como wPPG 1.40 (away 1.80, W-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.44
- xG Cremonese 1.04 vs Como 1.68
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Cremonese 1504 vs Como 1547
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker 1X2 prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- away 1.00EV +-59.8%Edge 6.9%Kelly 0.0%