Serie A
AS Roma vs Lazio
Sunday, May 17, 10:30
Consensus
Low · 32.4%AS Roma
41.1%
Draw
34.9%
Lazio
24.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 45.5% | 34.8% | 19.7% |
| poisson | 36.4% | 39.6% | 24.0% |
| elo | 44.0% | 27.1% | 28.9% |
- AS Roma wPPG 1.43 (home 1.80, L-L-W-W-L)
- Lazio wPPG 1.45 (away 1.75, W-L-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.52
- xG AS Roma 0.70 vs Lazio 0.50
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo AS Roma 1521 vs Lazio 1509
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).