NFL
San Francisco 49ers vs Minnesota Vikings
Monday, Nov 23, 01:20
Consensus
Low · 44.9%San Francisco 49ers
42.7%
Minnesota Vikings
57.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 9.4% | 90.6% |
| normal | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| elo | 36.3% | 63.7% |
- San Francisco 49ers wPPG 0.36 (home 1.00, L-L-L-W-L)
- Minnesota Vikings wPPG 1.23 (away 2.14, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.42
- Expected score San Francisco 49ers 22.4 vs Minnesota Vikings 17.5
- Margin μ=6.88, σ=10
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 75.4%
- Elo San Francisco 49ers 1380 vs Minnesota Vikings 1538
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).