NFL
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans
Sunday, Oct 18, 13:30
Consensus
Low · 41.9%Jacksonville Jaguars
51.9%
Houston Texans
48.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 21.5% | 78.5% |
| normal | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| elo | 40.4% | 59.6% |
- Jacksonville Jaguars wPPG 0.26 (home 1.50, L-L-L-L-W)
- Houston Texans wPPG 0.70 (away 1.00, L-W-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.81
- Expected score Jacksonville Jaguars 17.1 vs Houston Texans 11.6
- Margin μ=7.50, σ=10
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 77.3%
- Elo Jacksonville Jaguars 1380 vs Houston Texans 1508
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).