NFL
Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots
Sunday, Nov 15, 14:30
Consensus
High · 93.2%Detroit Lions
97.2%
New England Patriots
2.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 97.6% | 2.4% |
| normal | 98.9% | 1.1% |
| elo | 84.9% | 15.1% |
- Detroit Lions wPPG 1.25 (home 2.14, W-W-W-W-L)
- New England Patriots wPPG 0.49 (away 1.50, L-L-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.32
- Expected score Detroit Lions 45.2 vs New England Patriots 24.4
- Margin μ=22.76, σ=10
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 98.9%
- Elo Detroit Lions 1620 vs New England Patriots 1380
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).