NFL
Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, Oct 04, 13:30
Consensus
High · 89.6%Washington Commanders
95.4%
Indianapolis Colts
4.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 95.1% | 4.9% |
| normal | 98.4% | 1.6% |
| elo | 77.8% | 22.2% |
- Washington Commanders wPPG 1.03 (home 2.40, L-L-W-W-W)
- Indianapolis Colts wPPG 0.52 (away 1.00, L-L-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.85
- Expected score Washington Commanders 41.1 vs Indianapolis Colts 21.7
- Margin μ=21.37, σ=10
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 98.4%
- Elo Washington Commanders 1545 vs Indianapolis Colts 1388
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).