NFL
Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions
Friday, Sep 18, 00:15
Consensus
High · 71.9%Buffalo Bills
74.5%
Detroit Lions
25.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| normal | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| elo | 58.5% | 41.5% |
- Buffalo Bills wPPG 1.46 (home 3.00, L-W-W-W-L)
- Detroit Lions wPPG 1.25 (away 2.40, W-W-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.59
- Expected score Buffalo Bills 34.1 vs Detroit Lions 26.6
- Margin μ=9.46, σ=10
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 82.8%
- Elo Buffalo Bills 1620 vs Detroit Lions 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).