NFL
Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, Sep 27, 20:25
Consensus
High · 85.0%Dallas Cowboys
11.0%
Baltimore Ravens
89.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 6.0% | 94.0% |
| normal | 9.3% | 90.7% |
| elo | 26.2% | 73.8% |
- Dallas Cowboys wPPG 0.61 (home 1.29, L-L-L-W-W)
- Baltimore Ravens wPPG 1.21 (away 1.50, W-L-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.73
- Expected score Dallas Cowboys 20.5 vs Baltimore Ravens 35.7
- Margin μ=-13.20, σ=10
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 9.3%
- Elo Dallas Cowboys 1380 vs Baltimore Ravens 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
Value
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).