MLB
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres
Saturday, May 16, 01:40
Consensus
Medium · 67.5%Seattle Mariners
62.2%
book 55.5%
San Diego Padres
37.8%
book 44.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 82.2% | 17.8% |
| poisson | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| elo | 70.7% | 29.3% |
| market | 55.5% | 44.5% |
- Seattle Mariners wPPG 1.28 (home 2.00, W-W-L-L-W)
- San Diego Padres wPPG 1.13 (away 1.50, W-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.96
- xG Seattle Mariners 3.48 vs San Diego Padres 2.77
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Seattle Mariners 1570 vs San Diego Padres 1477
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.74EV +8.3%Edge 6.7%Kelly 11.2%