WNBA
Seattle Storm vs Washington Mystics
Sunday, May 24, 22:00
Consensus
Medium · 63.0%Seattle Storm
49.9%
book 35.8%
Washington Mystics
50.1%
book 64.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| normal | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| elo | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| market | 35.8% | 64.2% |
- Seattle Storm wPPG 0.89 (home 1.00, L-W-L-W-W)
- Washington Mystics wPPG 0.36 (away 0.82, L-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.59
- Expected score Seattle Storm 58.8 vs Washington Mystics 52.7
- Margin μ=8.60, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 76.3%
- Elo Seattle Storm 1425 vs Washington Mystics 1380
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.55EV +27.1%Edge 14.0%Kelly 17.5%