WNBA
Seattle Storm vs Connecticut Sun
Saturday, May 23, 02:00
Consensus
Medium · 68.6%Seattle Storm
60.4%
book 53.5%
Connecticut Sun
39.6%
book 46.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 72.6% | 27.4% |
| normal | 74.4% | 25.6% |
| elo | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| market | 53.5% | 46.5% |
- Seattle Storm wPPG 0.89 (home 1.00, L-W-L-W-W)
- Connecticut Sun wPPG 0.41 (away 0.90, L-L-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.61
- Expected score Seattle Storm 62.2 vs Connecticut Sun 56.8
- Margin μ=7.85, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 74.4%
- Elo Seattle Storm 1425 vs Connecticut Sun 1380
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.76EV +6.4%Edge 6.9%Kelly 8.4%