WNBA
Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces
Sunday, May 17, 17:30
Consensus
Medium · 51.2%Atlanta Dream
45.1%
book 38.4%
Las Vegas Aces
54.9%
book 61.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| normal | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| elo | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| market | 38.4% | 61.6% |
- Atlanta Dream wPPG 1.37 (home 2.10, W-W-W-L-W)
- Las Vegas Aces wPPG 1.66 (away 2.33, W-W-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.06
- Expected score Atlanta Dream 61.6 vs Las Vegas Aces 60.8
- Margin μ=3.24, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 60.6%
- Elo Atlanta Dream 1620 vs Las Vegas Aces 1620
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 2.40EV +8.3%Edge 6.8%Kelly 6.0%