WNBA
Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics
Friday, May 15, 23:30
Consensus
High · 88.7%Indiana Fever
84.8%
book 78.8%
Washington Mystics
15.2%
book 21.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 98.3% | 1.7% |
| normal | 91.4% | 8.6% |
| elo | 84.9% | 15.1% |
| market | 78.8% | 21.2% |
- Indiana Fever wPPG 1.16 (home 2.00, L-W-W-L-L)
- Washington Mystics wPPG 0.36 (away 0.82, L-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.54
- Expected score Indiana Fever 66.5 vs Washington Mystics 52.6
- Margin μ=16.40, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 91.4%
- Elo Indiana Fever 1620 vs Washington Mystics 1380
- Home-field bonus +60
- Bookmaker Money line prices, with their margin stripped out
Value
- home 1.22EV +3.5%Edge 6.0%Kelly 15.9%